Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 306.212169 347.878244 394.608311 451.182637 518.194635 595.499032 692.091347
2025-01-05 239.230461 291.631507 355.886056 441.543755 554.379724 700.297770 907.227422
2025-01-12 205.311343 261.778936 335.134718 439.421091 587.247001 794.694959 1118.044564
2025-01-19 175.121792 230.654715 305.904833 418.147748 586.426503 838.232938 1262.011408
2025-01-26 164.231948 223.303273 306.757989 437.409179 644.910000 977.126644 1584.775899
2025-02-02 157.115953 219.907545 312.084996 463.073096 716.441281 1149.828566 2012.023924
2025-02-09 145.309216 208.044672 302.965838 464.186230 747.140813 1258.558030 2352.057570
2025-02-16 132.577210 193.340692 287.576581 452.504018 753.077710 1322.556254 2619.679233
2025-02-23 122.223702 181.272363 274.955974 443.559692 761.954490 1393.102206 2922.786383
2025-03-02 116.959906 176.731972 273.994639 454.627224 809.856290 1551.970264 3488.576239
2025-03-09 110.296162 169.270668 267.290316 454.233009 834.881963 1667.376743 3988.497780
2025-03-16 102.873197 159.915682 256.404970 444.570058 839.158309 1736.803051 4389.604306
2025-03-23 97.504964 153.794872 250.940306 445.303047 867.111584 1872.435041 5060.490456
2025-03-30 91.128723 145.471285 240.824088 435.721872 871.107429 1951.027275 5594.205295
2025-04-06 86.417648 139.688094 234.798429 433.641619 891.781058 2078.360037 6365.937828
2025-04-13 79.725677 129.907392 220.508790 412.712757 864.576904 2068.841898 6626.815794
2025-04-20 78.518376 129.919002 224.735668 431.661954 937.751540 2365.480447 8305.652180
2025-04-27 78.022403 131.172639 231.440177 456.904646 1032.178379 2759.267444 10759.565124
2025-05-04 74.920833 127.317758 227.675519 457.999381 1063.135510 2961.328144 12470.231799
2025-05-11 70.785482 121.230692 218.923132 446.509736 1057.538400 3038.246582 13575.581018
2025-05-18 67.227993 116.041284 211.629725 437.712043 1058.250474 3139.169782 14934.964671
2025-05-25 65.760883 114.813390 212.449310 448.598032 1118.468292 3483.204670 18282.243491
2025-06-01 63.374929 111.623177 208.873101 448.210301 1144.901024 3707.171246 21104.714914